Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.235128 0.252835 0.271575 0.292945 0.316712 0.342415 0.372422
2025-12-14 0.203116 0.228226 0.256493 0.290927 0.332094 0.380184 0.441284
2025-12-21 0.180586 0.208901 0.242123 0.284490 0.337831 0.403809 0.493295
2025-12-28 0.170104 0.201591 0.239844 0.290585 0.357453 0.444567 0.570192
2026-01-04 0.160810 0.194379 0.236350 0.293895 0.372764 0.480321 0.644322
2026-01-11 0.151984 0.186757 0.231295 0.294109 0.383187 0.509710 0.712721
2026-01-18 0.142462 0.177387 0.223002 0.288843 0.384909 0.526155 0.763089
2026-01-25 0.133234 0.167722 0.213503 0.280885 0.381612 0.534218 0.800480
2026-02-01 0.126075 0.160360 0.206577 0.275887 0.381965 0.547495 0.847973
2026-02-08 0.119312 0.153126 0.199326 0.269760 0.379843 0.556264 0.888404
2026-02-15 0.113798 0.147312 0.193698 0.265555 0.380196 0.568859 0.937415
2026-02-22 0.110936 0.145046 0.192974 0.268626 0.392306 0.602455 1.032090
2026-03-01 0.106818 0.140900 0.189435 0.267349 0.397587 0.625501 1.111898
2026-03-08 0.103000 0.137024 0.186108 0.266210 0.403067 0.649738 1.199804
2026-03-15 0.098331 0.131676 0.180267 0.260590 0.400221 0.657909 1.253544
2026-03-22 0.096784 0.130838 0.181188 0.265996 0.417229 0.706367 1.412430
2026-03-29 0.094746 0.129151 0.180677 0.268926 0.429944 0.747911 1.565532
2026-04-05 0.092220 0.126601 0.178660 0.269115 0.437496 0.779669 1.701799
2026-04-12 0.088790 0.122527 0.174023 0.264456 0.435325 0.790144 1.781548
2026-04-19 0.085058 0.117850 0.168217 0.257406 0.427915 0.788115 1.824358
2026-04-26 0.082092 0.114260 0.164021 0.252975 0.425337 0.796763 1.902619
2026-05-03 0.079087 0.110506 0.159406 0.247538 0.420309 0.799140 1.961993
2026-05-10 0.076585 0.107462 0.155838 0.243802 0.418465 0.808879 2.049126